Ceara vs Joinville: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil2nd RoundKick-off on May 17, 2016 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ceara vs Joinville?
Ceara won 1-0 on May 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 52′Tomas BastosCeara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Joinville have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2016 | Paysandu(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| May 11, 2016 | Joinville(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 26, 2016 | Resende(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 6, 2016 | Resende(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Macaé(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2016 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 11, 2016 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 4, 2016 | Comercial MS(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 21, 2016 | Comercial MS(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Gremio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ceara win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Joinville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2016 | Joinville 0-1 Ceara | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Joinville 3-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| Jul 16, 2014 | Ceara 1-3 Joinville | Serie B |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Ceara 0-3 Joinville | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2013 | Joinville 1-1 Ceara | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Ceara 4-3 Joinville | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Joinville | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy