Celaya vs Montañeses: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 12Kick-off on November 16, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Full time
What was the result of Celaya vs Montañeses?
Celaya won 1-0 on November 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 71′J. VarelaCelaya
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Montañeses have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Chapulineros(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Racing de Veracruz(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tapachula(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Tapachula(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Neza(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Montañeses score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Montañeses | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 4th in Liga Premier Serie A (43 points from 24 matches) and Montañeses sit 6th (38 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 43 |
| 6 | Montañeses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 28 | 38 |
A question about Celaya vs Montañeses?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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