Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma (SOCUM), Orizaba
The Footlab AI model makes Montañeses the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Lobos ULMX. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montañeses wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX?
Montañeses starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañeses
Not enough data to predict the Montañeses lineup.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañeses have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lobos ULMX have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Montañeses wins, 0 draws, 2 Lobos ULMX wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | Montañeses 2-1 Lobos ULMX | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Lobos ULMX 2-1 Montañeses | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 4, 2022 | Montañeses 1-0 Lobos ULMX | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Lobos ULMX 3-2 Montañeses | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX on Mar 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Montañeses score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lobos ULMX score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañeses | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lobos ULMX | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañeses sit 9th in Primera Premier (10 points from 7 matches) and Lobos ULMX sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Montañeses | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 16 | Lobos ULMX | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montañeses the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Lobos ULMX.
- Where and when is Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX played?
- Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma (SOCUM), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026ChapulinerosvsTritons Vallarta
- Oct 24, 2026Racing de VeracruzvsLos Cabos United
- Oct 24, 2026Pioneros de CancúnvsZacatepec 1948
- Oct 24, 2026TapachulavsH2O Purepechas
- Oct 24, 2026Deportiva VenadosvsTigres de Alica
- Oct 25, 2026Jaguares de ChiapasvsReboceros La Piedad
- Oct 25, 2026Inter Playa del CarmenvsIrapuato
- Oct 25, 2026CelayavsCordobés