Celaya vs Tapatío: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - 15Kick-off on April 20, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
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What was the result of Celaya vs Tapatío?
Celaya won 1-0 on April 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 43′E. Del ÁngelCelaya
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tapatío have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 2-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Tlaxcala(away) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Cancún(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 16, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Cancún(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Atlante FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Tlaxcala(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Venados FC(away) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Celaya win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tapatío win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | Tapatío 3-2 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Celaya 1-2 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Tapatío 1-1 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Tapatío 2-0 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Celaya 4-3 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Celaya 1-2 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tapatío score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tapatío | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tapatío | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy