Celta de Vigo II vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,262 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo II (1,938) and Sporting Gijon (1,957).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo II vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-2-1- 9A. Marin
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 15A. Kibet
- 29M. Sobral
- 10O. Marcos
- 23G. Miller
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 4S. M. Ndiaye
- 1Coke Carrillo
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 19J. Otero
- 16A. Sarco
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 14Álex Corredera
- 22Hugo Guillamón
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 15Pablo Vázquez
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Celta de Vigo II wins, 0 draws, 1 Sporting Gijon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 3-2 Celta de Vigo II | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo II sit 16th in Segunda División (13 points from 13 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 7th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
A question about Celta de Vigo II vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo II vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo II vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Celta de Vigo II vs Sporting Gijon is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.