Oviedo vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oviedo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oviedo vs Valladolid?
Oviedo starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,007 vs 1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oviedo vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oviedo
4-2-3-1- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 8Mikel Goti
- 10Alberto Reina
- 16Aritz Aldasoro
- 32Enzo Perez
- 12Dani Calvo
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 21J. Ponceau
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 12:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oviedo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Valladolid have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oviedo wins, 0 draws, 4 Valladolid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valladolid 0-3 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Valladolid 3-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Oviedo 0-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Oviedo 3-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Valladolid 2-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Apr 20, 2018 | Oviedo 1-2 Valladolid | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Oviedo score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oviedo sit 9th in Segunda División (18 points from 11 matches) and Valladolid sit 15th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Oviedo vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Oviedo vs Valladolid played?
- Oviedo vs Valladolid is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.