Tenerife vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tenerife wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife vs Las Palmas?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Tenerife (1,992) and Las Palmas (1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tenerife vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 6Juanjo
- 11Noel López
- 16Jesús Álvarez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 2David Rodríguez
- 27N. Viereck
- 3R. Jureškin
- 1Dani Martín
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 12E. Loiodice
- 4Álex Suárez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 13José Caro
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Las Palmas have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tenerife wins, 1 draw, 1 Las Palmas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Tenerife 1-1 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Tenerife 2-0 Las Palmas | Copa del Rey |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Tenerife 4-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Las Palmas 3-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Las Palmas 1-2 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Tenerife 1-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Tenerife vs Las Palmas on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife sit 14th in Segunda División (14 points from 11 matches) and Las Palmas sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 17 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Tenerife vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Tenerife vs Las Palmas played?
- Tenerife vs Las Palmas is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.