Match

Albacete vs Almeria: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete

AlbaceteAlmeria

The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Albacete. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albacete vs Almeria?

Almeria starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,914).

29%27%44%
Albacete winDrawAlmeria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Albacete vs Almeria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Albacete

3-5-2
  1. 17José Corpas
  2. 12Higinio Marín
  1. 6Antonio Pacheco
  2. 11Víctor Valverde
  3. 14San Bartolomé
  4. 18Sergio Ortu
  5. 2Lorenzo Aguado
  1. 21Carlos Neva
  2. 22Lluís López
  3. 24Vallejo
  1. 13Diego Mariño

Almeria

4-2-3-1
  1. 24Miguel de la Fuente
  1. 14Javi Muñoz
  2. 17B. Cipenga
  3. 11Sergio Arribas
  4. 29S. Džodić
  5. 33Quim Junyent
  1. 18F. Bonini
  2. 2Marcos Luna
  3. 3Álex Muñoz
  4. 5Jorge Pulido
  1. 1Andrés Fernández

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Almeria have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albacete
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Sabadell(home)2-1Segunda División
Oct 25, 2026Eldense(home)2-0Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Sporting Gijon(away)1-2Segunda División
Oct 12, 2026Valladolid(away)0-5Segunda División
Oct 3, 2026Eibar(home)1-3Segunda División
Almeria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Eibar(away)1-1Segunda División
Oct 27, 2026Castellonense(away)2-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Oviedo(home)2-2Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Real Sociedad II(away)4-2Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Leganes(home)3-0Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Albacete win, 3 draws, 2 Almeria wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Albacete 1-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
Aug 18, 2025Almeria 4-4 AlbaceteSegunda División
Jan 26, 2025Albacete 2-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
Oct 24, 2024Almeria 3-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
May 15, 2021Almeria 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
Nov 23, 2020Albacete 1-2 AlmeriaSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Albacete vs Almeria on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Albacete score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albacete0.91.729/158/15
Almeria2.10.776/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Albacete sit 21st in Segunda División (7 points from 12 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (26 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Almeria12822231026
21Albacete1221910237

A question about Albacete vs Almeria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albacete vs Almeria?
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Albacete.
Where and when is Albacete vs Almeria played?
Albacete vs Almeria is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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