Real Sociedad II vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Zubieta, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab model makes Real Sociedad II the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Burgos?
Burgos starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Burgos have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Sociedad II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Burgos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Burgos 1-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Burgos 0-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 0-0 Burgos | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Burgos 0-2 Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Burgos on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Burgos | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad II sit 13th in Segunda División (3 points from 2 matches) and Burgos sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Burgos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad II vs Burgos?
- The Footlab model makes Real Sociedad II the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad II vs Burgos played?
- Real Sociedad II vs Burgos is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Zubieta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.