Celta Vigo vs Villarreal: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Celta Vigo (2,121) and Villarreal (2,177).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Villarreal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 19W. Swedberg
- 6I. Moriba
- 5Sergio Carreira
- 17Javi Rueda
- 30H. Burcio
- 18Yoel Lago
- 20Javi Rodríguez
- 21S. Cáceres
- 13I. Radu
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 21T. Oluwaseyi
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 18P. Gueye
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 12Renato Veiga
- 3A. Freeman
- 6Pau Navarro
- 25P. Gulácsi
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Villarreal have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Celta Vigo wins, 1 draw, 3 Villarreal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Celta Vigo 3-0 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Celta Vigo 3-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Villarreal 3-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 8th in La Liga (11 points from 9 matches) and Villarreal sit 12th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Villarreal played?
- Celta Vigo vs Villarreal is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.