Celta Vigo vs Espanyol: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Espanyol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta Vigo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Espanyol?
On Elo ratings, Celta Vigo has 2,073 points and Espanyol 2,005.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Espanyol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 22Javi Galán
- 8Miguel Román
- 18Yoel Lago
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 13I. Radu
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 8Edu Expósito
- 24T. Dolan
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 4Urko González
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 5C. Riedel
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 13M. Dmitrović
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Espanyol have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Celta Vigo win, 1 draw, 4 Espanyol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Espanyol 2-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Celta Vigo 0-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Celta Vigo 0-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Espanyol vs Celta Vigo on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Espanyol | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 9th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Espanyol sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Celta Vigo vs Espanyol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Espanyol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Espanyol.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Espanyol played?
- Celta Vigo vs Espanyol is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.