Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Heart Of Midlothian. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celtic wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On Elo ratings, Celtic has 2,117 points and Heart Of Midlothian 2,058.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtic
4-2-3-1- 11C. Durán
- 42C. McGregor
- 22M. Baur
- 8B. Nygren
- 23H. Hassan
- 14L. McCowan
- 51Colby Donovan
- 5L. Scales
- 20C. Carter-Vickers
- 6A. Trusty
- 1V. Sinisalo
Heart Of Midlothian
4-4-2- 10Cláudio Braga
- 21J. Wilson
- 78L. Mendy
- 15J. McPake
- 7C. Miller
- 22T. Magnússon
- 17S. Findlay
- 5J. McCart
- 23J. Altena
- 2C. Borchgrevink
- 1B. Reus
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Heart Of Midlothian have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Falkirk(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Celtic wins, 1 draw, 2 Heart Of Midlothian wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Celtic 3-1 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian 2-2 Celtic | Premiership |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Celtic 1-2 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Heart Of Midlothian 3-1 Celtic | Premiership |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Celtic 3-0 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Heart Of Midlothian 1-4 Celtic | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Heart Of Midlothian score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 1st in Premiership (18 points from 7 matches) and Heart Of Midlothian sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
A question about Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Heart Of Midlothian.
- Where and when is Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian played?
- Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.