ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)McDiarmid Park, Perth
The Footlab AI model makes ST Johnstone the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dundee Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If ST Johnstone wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate ST Johnstone (1,908) and Dundee Utd (1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ST Johnstone
4-2-3-1- 9J. Fowler
- 8J. Holt
- 42R. McAlear
- 7T. Steven
- 32J. Campbell
- 10J. Gullan
- 3C. Diabate
- 5Z. Mitchell
- 33L. Smith
- 26M. Todd
- 1T. Steward
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 7M. Merghem
- 21J. Randall
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 8Panutche Camará
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ST Johnstone have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dundee Utd have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ST Johnstone wins, 0 draws, 4 Dundee Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Dundee Utd 1-0 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2024 | ST Johnstone 1-2 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Dundee Utd 2-0 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| May 6, 2023 | ST Johnstone 1-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Dundee Utd 1-2 ST Johnstone | Premiership |
| Jan 2, 2023 | ST Johnstone 0-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Dundee Utd vs ST Johnstone on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ST Johnstone score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Dundee Utd | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ST Johnstone sit 6th in Premiership (8 points from 7 matches) and Dundee Utd sit 8th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
A question about ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes ST Johnstone the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dundee Utd.
- Where and when is ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd played?
- ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at McDiarmid Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.