Hibernian vs Falkirk: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Easter Road Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Falkirk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hibernian wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernian vs Falkirk?
On Elo ratings, Hibernian has 1,946 points and Falkirk 1,885.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hibernian vs Falkirk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hibernian
3-4-1-2- 10M. Boyle
- 7O. Elding
- 8J. Mulligan
- 25F. Passlack
- 3A. Mayor
- 23C. Wright
- 14M. Chaiwa
- 6J. Kerr
- 15J. Iredale
- 4G. Hanley
- 1R. Sallinger
Falkirk
4-2-3-1- 24J. Murrell
- 23E. Ross
- 16Finley Frank Barbrook
- 8B. Spencer
- 28B. Krauhaus
- 42Owen Eames
- 5L. Henderson
- 22R. Strain
- 3L. McCann
- 15L. Neilson
- 19S. Bain
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernian have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Falkirk have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hibernian wins, 1 draw, 2 Falkirk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Falkirk 1-3 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Falkirk 4-1 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hibernian 3-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Falkirk 2-2 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Falkirk 1-0 Hibernian | League Cup |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Hibernian 2-1 Falkirk | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernian score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Falkirk score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Falkirk | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernian sit 10th in Premiership (7 points from 7 matches) and Falkirk sit 11th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Hibernian vs Falkirk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Falkirk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Falkirk.
- Where and when is Hibernian vs Falkirk played?
- Hibernian vs Falkirk is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Easter Road Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.