Aberdeen vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
The Footlab AI model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberdeen wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
On Elo ratings, Aberdeen has 1,886 points and ST Mirren 1,852.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aberdeen vs ST Mirren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aberdeen
3-5-2- 15K. Nisbet
- 20T. Olusanya
- 32A. Aremu
- 25C. Ronan
- 40F. Marshall
- 7Tony Yogane
- 17S. Armstrong
- 28C. Cadden
- 24N. Guinness-Walker
- 21G. Molloy
- 27M. Müller
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 25N. Agrafiotis
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 30F. Taylor
- 48P. Nsio
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 47C. Ramsay
- 1J. Chapman
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberdeen have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; ST Mirren have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 3-3 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aberdeen win, 1 draw, 4 ST Mirren wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Aberdeen 0-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ST Mirren 2-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Aberdeen 3-3 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Oct 18, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-1 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| May 3, 2025 | ST Mirren 1-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Aberdeen 0-3 ST Mirren | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Aberdeen vs ST Mirren on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberdeen score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberdeen sit 7th in Premiership (8 points from 7 matches) and ST Mirren sit 5th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Aberdeen vs ST Mirren played?
- Aberdeen vs ST Mirren is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pittodrie Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.