Cenicero vs San Marcial: result 1-3 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Las Viñas, Cenicero
Full time
What was the result of Cenicero vs San Marcial?
San Marcial won 1-3 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 58′612306San Marcial
- 81′629053San Marcial
- 85′686854Cenicero (pen.)
- 89′612346San Marcial
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Cenicero win at 43%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cenicero have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; San Marcial have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | River Ebro(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Berceo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Comillas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Varea(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cenicero score 0.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcial score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cenicero | 0.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| San Marcial | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cenicero sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (6 points from 10 matches) and San Marcial sit 9th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Marcial | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cenicero | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Cenicero vs San Marcial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy