Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Industree Group Stadium, Gosford
The Footlab model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Central Coast Mariners (1,759) and Perth Glory (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Coast Mariners have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Perth Glory have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Central Coast Mariners win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Perth Glory win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Perth Glory 3-0 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Perth Glory 0-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| May 13, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 2-3 Perth Glory | Australia Cup |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Coast Mariners sit 9th in A-League (32 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory played?
- Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory is played on November 21, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Industree Group Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.