Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Industree Group Stadium, Gosford
The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perth Glory wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Central Coast Mariners (1,738) and Perth Glory (1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Coast Mariners have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Perth Glory have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Central Coast Mariners wins, 2 draws, 2 Perth Glory wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Perth Glory 3-0 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Perth Glory 0-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| May 13, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 2-3 Perth Glory | Australia Cup |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Coast Mariners sit 9th in A-League (32 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory played?
- Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory is played on November 21, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Industree Group Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.