Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Industree Group Stadium, Gosford
The Footlab AI model makes Central Coast Mariners the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Central Coast Mariners wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Central Coast Mariners (1,750) and Brisbane Roar (1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Brisbane Roar
4-1-4-1- 17J. Vidic
- 6N. Maieroni
- 44J. Lauton
- 77M. Stajic
- 2Jacob Nasso
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 3D. Valkanis
- 15H. Bility
- 53A. Mitchell
- 2Y. Salas
- 1D. Bouzanis
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Coast Mariners have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Brisbane Roar have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Central Coast Mariners wins, 1 draw, 3 Brisbane Roar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 1-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 2-0 Central Coast Mariners | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-3 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Coast Mariners sit 9th in A-League (32 points from 26 matches) and Brisbane Roar sit 11th (26 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 26 |
A question about Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Central Coast Mariners the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar played?
- Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Industree Group Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.