Match

Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rubén Carlos Vallejos, Campana, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Puerto NuevoLugano

The Footlab model makes Lugano the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Puerto Nuevo. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Puerto Nuevo (1,508) and Lugano (1,560).

Puerto Nuevo win26 %
Draw31 %
Lugano win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puerto Nuevo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lugano have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Puerto Nuevo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Defensores de Cambaceres(home)0-2Primera C
Aug 14, 2026Yupanqui(home)2-2Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Juventud Unida(away)1-1Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Sacachispas(home)1-0Primera C
Jul 23, 2026Argentino Rosario(away)0-0Primera C
Lugano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leandro N. Alem(away)1-0Primera C
Aug 16, 2026Lujan(home)1-2Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Victoriano Arenas(home)0-0Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Defensores de Cambaceres(away)2-1Primera C
Jul 25, 2026Centro Español(home)1-0Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puerto Nuevo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lugano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Lugano 3-0 Puerto NuevoPrimera C
Aug 3, 2025Lugano 1-0 Puerto NuevoPrimera C
Apr 19, 2025Puerto Nuevo 1-0 LuganoPrimera C
Nov 9, 2024Puerto Nuevo 0-0 LuganoPrimera C
Jun 8, 2024Lugano 0-4 Puerto NuevoPrimera C
Oct 13, 2021Lugano 3-2 Puerto NuevoPrimera D

Last archived meeting: Lugano vs Puerto Nuevo on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Puerto Nuevo score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Puerto Nuevo0.80.974/153/15
Lugano1.20.896/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Puerto Nuevo sit 8th in Primera C (35 points from 25 matches) and Lugano sit 2nd (39 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Lugano251096292239
8Puerto Nuevo258116222435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
The Footlab model makes Lugano the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Puerto Nuevo.
Where and when is Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano played?
Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rubén Carlos Vallejos, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Puerto Nuevo and Lugano

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