Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)WE Al-Ahly Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Al Ittihad. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahly
4-2-3-1- 10M. Bakrar
- 25Zizo
- 17A. Bencharki
- 13Marwan Attia
- 15Omar El Saeey
- 12Akram Tawfik
- 2Yassin Marei
- 24Tawfik Mohamed
- 30Mohamed Hany
- 5Hady Reyad
- 31Mostafa Shobeir
Al Ittihad
4-2-3-1- 10Hossam Hassan
- 23I. Saviour
- 14Mohamed Fakhry
- 35Pascal Phiri
- 8Mohamed Toni
- 25Mahmoud Emad
- 5Mostafa Ibrahim
- 24Momen Awad
- 30K. Mosaad
- 7Mohamed Mostafa Mido
- 31Ali El Gabry
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahly have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Al Ittihad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al Ahly wins, 1 draw, 0 Al Ittihad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Al Ahly 2-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Al Ahly 1-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Al Ittihad 0-1 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| May 7, 2024 | Al Ahly 4-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Al Ittihad 0-2 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2022 | Al Ahly 3-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad on Oct 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahly score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ittihad score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly | 2.2 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Ittihad | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahly sit 2nd in Premier League (20 points from 8 matches) and Al Ittihad sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Al Ittihad.
- Where and when is Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad played?
- Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad is played on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at WE Al-Ahly Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.