Cerro vs Cerro Largo: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 5Kick-off on June 19, 2025 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Cerro vs Cerro Largo?
Cerro won 2-1 on June 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 32′E. LarrosaCerro (pen.)
- 66′M. AffonsoCerro Largo
- 89′M. AlonsoCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Cerro Largo have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 6, 2025 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| May 25, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| May 19, 2025 | Boston River(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| May 29, 2025 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 24, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cerro win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cerro Largo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | Cerro Largo 0-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cerro Largo 3-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Cerro 0-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Cerro 1-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Cerro Largo 0-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Cerro Largo 0-1 Cerro | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Largo score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerro Largo | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 16th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Cerro Largo sit 12th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 62 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 67 | 68 | 80 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy