Atletico Torque vs Cerro: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Torque the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cerro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Torque wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Cerro?
Atletico Torque starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Torque vs Cerro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Torque
4-3-3- 9S. Rodríguez
- 7Luka Andrade
- 30J. Quintana
- 20G. Montes
- 8P. Siles
- 5F. Pizzichillo
- 3K. Silva
- 17E. Agüero
- 2B. Gutierrez
- 26F. Silvera
- 1F. Torgnascioli
Cerro
4-3-3- 14E. Rodríguez
- 28A. Cambón
- 9B. Morales
- 5A. Macelli
- 27C. Barros
- 70L. Pais
- 16J. Guasone
- 21N. Arena
- 17Gianni Rodríguez
- 22D. Suárez
- 12Y. Irrazábal
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Torque have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Cerro have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-2 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atletico Torque wins, 1 draw, 1 Cerro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cerro 1-1 Atletico Torque | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Atletico Torque 1-2 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Cerro 1-2 Atletico Torque | Primera División |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Atletico Torque 1-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Cerro 0-2 Atletico Torque | Primera División |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Cerro 1-3 Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Cerro vs Atletico Torque on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Torque score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerro | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Torque sit 1st in Primera División (22 points from 10 matches) and Cerro sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 18 |
A question about Atletico Torque vs Cerro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Torque vs Cerro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Torque the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cerro.
- Where and when is Atletico Torque vs Cerro played?
- Atletico Torque vs Cerro is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.