CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CF Pachuca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate CF Pachuca (1,938) and Tigres UANL (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Pachuca have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Tigres UANL have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CF Pachuca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Tigres UANL 1-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2025 | CF Pachuca 1-2 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2025 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Tigres UANL 1-0 CF Pachuca | Leagues Cup |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 0-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Tigres UANL vs CF Pachuca on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Pachuca score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Pachuca | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Pachuca sit 13th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | CF Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CF Pachuca.
- Where and when is CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL played?
- CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Hidalgo, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.