CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
The Footlab AI model makes CF Pachuca the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tigres UANL. The most likely score is 1-1. If CF Pachuca wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates CF Pachuca (1,959) and Tigres UANL (1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1- 23S. Rondón
- 16C. Rivera
- 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
- 30S. Rodríguez
- 11O. Idrissi
- 6M. Isaís
- 2S. Barreto
- 15F. Venegas
- 4Eduardo Bauermann
- 14C. Sánchez
- 25C. Moreno
Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1- 17R. Aguirre
- 11J. Brunetta
- 8F. Gorriarán
- 21R. Monreal
- 16D. Lainez
- 77O. Herrera
- 15A. Franco
- 28Joaquim
- 19M. Laínez
- 30D. Sánchez
- 1N. Guzmán
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Pachuca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tigres UANL have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Necaxa(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CF Pachuca wins, 1 draw, 3 Tigres UANL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Tigres UANL 1-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2025 | CF Pachuca 1-2 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2025 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Tigres UANL 1-0 CF Pachuca | Leagues Cup |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 0-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Tigres UANL vs CF Pachuca on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Pachuca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Pachuca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Pachuca sit 11th in Liga MX (12 points from 10 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
A question about CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Pachuca the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tigres UANL.
- Where and when is CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL played?
- CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Hidalgo, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.