Santos Laguna vs Necaxa: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Corona, Torreón
The Footlab AI model makes Santos Laguna the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Necaxa. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
On Elo ratings, Santos Laguna has 1,785 points and Necaxa 1,809.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santos Laguna
3-4-3- 10E. Bullaude
- 29Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
- 19E. Aguirre
- 3M. Cuevas
- 23F. Cáseres
- 21Fran Villalba
- 7D. González
- 25Felipe Sánchez
- 18F. Pardo
- 14E. Orona
- 1C. Acevedo
Necaxa
4-1-4-1- 9J. Carranza
- 16P. Pedraza
- 21M. Espíndola
- 13Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
- 6D. Leyva
- 99M. Rodríguez
- 3A. Oliveros
- 88C. Vargas
- 15D. Ochoa
- 2E. Martínez
- 12L. Jiménez
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos Laguna have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Necaxa have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Club America(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santos Laguna win, 0 draws, 5 Necaxa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Santos Laguna 1-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Necaxa 3-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Santos Laguna 3-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Necaxa 2-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Santos Laguna 2-5 Necaxa | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Santos Laguna vs Necaxa on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santos Laguna score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Necaxa | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos Laguna sit 14th in Liga MX (13 points from 11 matches) and Necaxa sit 17th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 9 |
A question about Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santos Laguna the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Necaxa.
- Where and when is Santos Laguna vs Necaxa played?
- Santos Laguna vs Necaxa is played on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Corona, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.