Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
The Footlab AI model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Puebla. The most likely score is 1-1. If U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Puebla
4-2-3-1- 9L. Hernández
- 27B. Garnica
- 24A. Organista
- 16A. Ramírez
- 8O. Moreno
- 10M. Tomás
- 4J. Vargas
- 5F. Almada
- 7F. Monárrez
- 12I. Moreno
- 28R. Gutiérrez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-4-2- 23Juninho
- 31R. Morales
- 21U. Antuna
- 45P. Vite
- 8A. Carrasquilla
- 10C. Huerta
- 6Nathan Silva
- 7R. López
- 2P. Bennevendo
- 5Rubén Duarte
- 1K. Navas
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 06:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Puebla wins, 1 draw, 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Puebla 2-3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Puebla 1-3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Feb 11, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Puebla 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 14th in Liga MX (16 points from 14 matches) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
A question about Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
- The Footlab AI model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Puebla.
- Where and when is Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas played?
- Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.