Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Puebla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Austin(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 2-5 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Necaxa(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Puebla win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Puebla 2-3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Puebla 1-3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Feb 11, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Puebla 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 11th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
- The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Puebla.
- Where and when is Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas played?
- Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.