Where and when is CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá played?

CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF Talavera

RSD Alcalá

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,898) and RSD Alcalá (1,876).

CF Talavera win46 %

Draw28 %

RSD Alcalá win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Getafe II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Illescas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Cacereño(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

RSD Alcalá
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	CD Coria(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Quintanar del Rey(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Rayo Vallecano II(home)	3-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Fuenlabrada(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Talavera	0.9	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
RSD Alcalá	1.5	0.9	6	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	RSD Alcalá	34	14	9	11	42	39	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá?: The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá played?: CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.