CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina
The Footlab AI model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If CF Talavera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,906) and RSD Alcalá (1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Talavera
Not enough data to predict the CF Talavera lineup.
RSD Alcalá
4-3-3- 10Izan
- 23I. Robledo
- 19N. Sanchez
- 11Javi Hernández
- 7J. Arribas
- 8S. Marcos
- 22D. Nieto
- 15Chete
- 4H. Torres
- 12M. Lopez
- 1I. Gil
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 5-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guadalajara(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 CF Talavera wins, 0 draws, 1 RSD Alcalá win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | RSD Alcalá 3-0 CF Talavera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: RSD Alcalá vs CF Talavera on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Talavera score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Talavera | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| RSD Alcalá | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Talavera sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 6 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CF Talavera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | RSD Alcalá | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
A question about CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá played?
- CF Talavera vs RSD Alcalá is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027NumanciavsAtlético Tordesillas
- Feb 28, 2027NavalcarnerovsGuadalajara
- Feb 28, 2027SS ReyesvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Feb 28, 2027Getafe IIvsReal Ávila
- Feb 28, 2027Real Valladolid IIvsAtlético Astorga
- Feb 28, 2027CalamochavsConquense
- Feb 28, 2027Albacete IIvsSalamanca UDS
- Feb 28, 2027A Madrid IIIvsCalvo Sotelo