Match

RSD Alcalá vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares

RSD AlcaláNumancia

The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Numancia?

Numancia starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,869).

25%27%48%
RSD Alcalá winDrawNumancia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RSD Alcalá vs Numancia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

Numancia

4-3-3
  1. 9Jony González
  2. 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
  3. 26C. Godson
  1. 8M. Gning
  2. 5O. De Frutos
  3. 6N. Lucas Rey
  1. 2Marcos Sánchez
  2. 16Carlos Gutiérrez
  3. 22Fermín Ruiz
  4. 4Ian Olivera
  1. 1M. Abad

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Numancia have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)5-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Guadalajara(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Getafe II(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Guadalajara(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026A Madrid III(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RSD Alcalá1.51.267/1510/15
Numancia1.20.686/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RSD Alcalá sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (7 points from 6 matches) and Numancia sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Numancia63306112
11RSD Alcalá621310107

A question about RSD Alcalá vs Numancia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Numancia?
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Numancia played?
RSD Alcalá vs Numancia is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: RSD Alcalá and Numancia

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