Match

A Madrid III vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, Majadahonda

A Madrid IIICalvo Sotelo

The Footlab model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win A Madrid III vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate A Madrid III (1,844) and Calvo Sotelo (1,938).

A Madrid III win36 %
Draw28 %
Calvo Sotelo win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A Madrid III have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

A Madrid III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Móstoles(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026SS Reyes II(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Las Rozas(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Unión Adarve(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Calvo Sotelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026La Solana(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026Toledo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026Cazalegas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026Huracán Balazote(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026Guadalajara II(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

How many goals should we expect?

A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
A Madrid III2.11.4212/1510/15
Calvo Sotelo1.70.687/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for A Madrid III vs Calvo Sotelo?
The Footlab model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is A Madrid III vs Calvo Sotelo played?
A Madrid III vs Calvo Sotelo is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: A Madrid III and Calvo Sotelo

Ready to know everything about football?