Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara played?

Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

Navalcarnero

Guadalajara

The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,860) and Guadalajara (1,881).

Navalcarnero win44 %

Draw28 %

Guadalajara win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Fuenlabrada(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Colonia Moscardó(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Conquense(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	CD Coria(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	2-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Guadalajara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Marchamalo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Athletic Club II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Guadalajara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 13, 2025	Navalcarnero 2-1 Guadalajara	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 1, 2024	Guadalajara 2-0 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2024	Navalcarnero 3-1 Guadalajara	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 3, 2023	Guadalajara 3-2 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 27, 2023	Navalcarnero 0-0 Guadalajara	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 18, 2023	Guadalajara 1-1 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara on Apr 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero	1.3	1.5	3	7/15	8/15
Guadalajara	1.5	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40	42	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara?: The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Guadalajara.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara played?: Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.