Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navalcarnero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara?
On Elo ratings, Navalcarnero has 1,910 points and Guadalajara 1,864.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Guadalajara have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero wins, 2 draws, 2 Guadalajara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Navalcarnero 2-1 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Guadalajara 2-0 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Navalcarnero 3-1 Guadalajara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Guadalajara 3-2 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Guadalajara | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Guadalajara 1-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Guadalajara | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Navalcarnero sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 6 matches) and Guadalajara sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Guadalajara.
- Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara played?
- Navalcarnero vs Guadalajara is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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