Match

Chainat vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatNakhon Ratchasima FC

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

Nakhon Ratchasima FC starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,425).

Chainat win37 %
Draw27 %
Nakhon Ratchasima FC win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chonburi FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Sukhothai FC(home)1-0Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-1Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-2Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026Bangkok United(home)1-0Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chainat win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2024Chainat 3-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FCLeague Cup
Jan 7, 2024Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-1 ChainatThai League 2
Aug 19, 2023Chainat 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 2
Jan 12, 2022Chainat 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FCLeague Cup
Oct 20, 2019Chainat 1-3 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 1
Jun 15, 2019Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 ChainatThai League 1

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Oct 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0.81.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Where and when is Chainat vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
Chainat vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chainat and Nakhon Ratchasima FC

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