Where and when is Satun vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?

Satun vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on January 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Satun vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun

Satun

Nong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Satun vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Satun (1,421) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Satun win45 %

Draw26 %

Nong Bua Pitchaya win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Satun
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 28, 2025	Lamphun Warrior(home)	0-2	League Cup
Sep 1, 2024	Muang Trang United(home)	1-1	League Cup
Mar 13, 2024	Muangthong United(home)	1-3	League Cup
Dec 6, 2023	Nakhon Pathom(home)	2-0	League Cup
Oct 25, 2023	Kanchanaburi(home)	2-1	League Cup

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Satun	1.7	1.2	2	3/6	3/6
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Satun vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?: The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Satun vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?: Satun vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on January 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.