Chiangmai United vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangmai United vs Muangthong United?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chiangmai United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Muangthong United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | Chiangmai United 1-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Muangthong United 2-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Muangthong United on Apr 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Muangthong United?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Chiangmai United.
- Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Muangthong United played?
- Chiangmai United vs Muangthong United is played on January 23, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 23, 2027Police TerovsKhon Kaen United
- Jan 23, 2027ChainatvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Jan 24, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Jan 24, 2027Phrae UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Jan 24, 2027SatunvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Jan 24, 2027Nakhon PathomvsKasetsart FC