Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kasetsart FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Kasetsart FC (1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kasetsart FC have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chiangmai United(home) | 3-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 4-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kasetsart FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Kasetsart FC 3-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Kasetsart FC 1-2 Nakhon Pathom | FA Cup |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Kasetsart FC 0-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kasetsart FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Kasetsart FC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Kasetsart FC sit 16th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 49 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kasetsart FC.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart FC is played on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 22, 2027ChanthaburivsUttaradit
- Jan 23, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsSongkhla
- Jan 23, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsMuangthong United
- Jan 23, 2027Police TerovsKhon Kaen United
- Jan 23, 2027ChainatvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Jan 24, 2027Phrae UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Jan 24, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Jan 24, 2027SatunvsNong Bua Pitchaya