Chainat vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chainat vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chainat win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Police Tero 1-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Police Tero 2-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Chainat 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Jul 1, 2018 | Police Tero 1-1 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
| Jun 27, 2018 | Police Tero 4-1 Chainat | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Police Tero on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Chainat vs Police Tero played?
- Chainat vs Police Tero is played on December 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Phrae UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Dec 26, 2026KanchanaburivsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Dec 26, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Dec 26, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Dec 27, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsSatun
- Dec 27, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsUttaradit
- Dec 27, 2026SongkhlavsKasetsart FC
- Dec 27, 2026Esan PattayavsNakhon Pathom