Match

Chainat vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatPolice Tero

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Police Tero?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Police Tero (1,474).

Chainat win42 %
Draw26 %
Police Tero win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2
Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chainat win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Police Tero win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Chainat 2-1 Police TeroThai League 2
Dec 6, 2025Police Tero 1-0 ChainatThai League 2
Apr 26, 2025Police Tero 2-1 ChainatThai League 2
Aug 11, 2024Chainat 2-1 Police TeroThai League 2
Jul 1, 2018Police Tero 1-1 ChainatThai League 1
Jun 27, 2018Police Tero 4-1 ChainatFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Police Tero on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Police Tero sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
6Chainat34121012504646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Police Tero?
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Chainat vs Police Tero played?
Chainat vs Police Tero is played on December 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chainat and Police Tero

Ready to know everything about football?