Match

Chainat vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Matchday 17Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatPolice Tero

The Footlab AI model makes Chainat the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Police Tero?

On Elo ratings, Chainat has 1,424 points and Police Tero 1,416.

59%21%20%
Chainat winDrawPolice Tero win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chainat vs Police Tero

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chainat

4-3-3
  1. 20A. Ayeh
  2. 18K. Boonma
  3. 11S. Al Jaberi
  1. 22N. Kaewklang
  2. 10E. Mbarga
  3. 7M. Kongjumpa
  1. 17F. Khadearee
  2. 5Young-Jae Yoo
  3. 4T. Kiatlerttham
  4. 24A. Saengdaeng
  1. 19K. Chaodon

Police Tero

4-3-3
  1. 30Ahmed Awad Mohammad
  2. 11A. Kelani Essadi
  3. 9Fernando Viana
  1. 8W. Motim
  2. 10S. Namphueng
  3. 41S. Tudsanai
  1. 37S. Kesi
  2. 6P. Sienkrthok
  3. 14T. Thanachartkun
  4. 91P. Boers
  1. 1S. Khumpiam

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Police Tero have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)2-2Thai League 2
Oct 31, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)1-1Thai League 2
Oct 25, 2026Kanchanaburi(away)3-6Thai League 2
Oct 18, 2026Uttaradit(home)3-2Thai League 2
Oct 15, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Uttaradit(away)0-4Thai League 2
Nov 1, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)0-6Thai League 2
Oct 26, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-4Thai League 2
Oct 21, 2026Surin(home)4-1FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)5-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chainat wins, 1 draw, 3 Police Tero wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Chainat 2-1 Police TeroThai League 2
Dec 6, 2025Police Tero 1-0 ChainatThai League 2
Apr 26, 2025Police Tero 2-1 ChainatThai League 2
Aug 11, 2024Chainat 2-1 Police TeroThai League 2
Jul 1, 2018Police Tero 1-1 ChainatThai League 1
Jun 27, 2018Police Tero 4-1 ChainatFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Police Tero on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.71.9212/1512/15
Police Tero1.52.128/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 7th in Thai League 2 (15 points from 10 matches) and Police Tero sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Chainat10433171815
15Police Tero10316112410

A question about Chainat vs Police Tero?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Police Tero?
The Footlab AI model makes Chainat the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Chainat vs Police Tero played?
Chainat vs Police Tero is played on December 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chainat and Police Tero