Match

Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, Kanchanaburi

KanchanaburiNong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Kanchanaburi (1,542) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Kanchanaburi win51 %
Draw25 %
Nong Bua Pitchaya win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanchanaburi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kanchanaburi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Ratchaburi(home)0-1Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Chonburi FC(home)2-2Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026Buriram United(home)1-3Thai League 1
Apr 4, 2026BG Pathum United(home)0-2Thai League 1
Mar 21, 2026Rayong FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Kanchanaburi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 11, 2024Kanchanaburi 1-5 Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2
Dec 20, 2023Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-2 KanchanaburiFA Cup
Oct 8, 2023Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 KanchanaburiThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Feb 11, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kanchanaburi0.91.847/159/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on December 26, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kanchanaburi and Nong Bua Pitchaya

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