Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, Kanchanaburi
The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Kanchanaburi (1,542) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanchanaburi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Kanchanaburi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Kanchanaburi 1-5 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-2 Kanchanaburi | FA Cup |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Kanchanaburi | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanchanaburi | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
- The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
- Where and when is Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
- Kanchanaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on December 26, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 26, 2026Phrae UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Dec 26, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Dec 26, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Dec 27, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsSatun
- Dec 27, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsUttaradit
- Dec 27, 2026SongkhlavsKasetsart FC
- Dec 27, 2026Esan PattayavsNakhon Pathom