Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Police Tero win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Esan Pattaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Police Tero 2-0 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Esan Pattaya 0-2 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Esan Pattaya 1-0 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Police Tero 2-1 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 8, 2027SatunvsSongkhla
- Jan 9, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Jan 9, 2027ChainatvsMuang Loei United
- Jan 9, 2027Nakhon PathomvsPhrae United
- Jan 9, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsMuangthong United
- Jan 10, 2027ChanthaburivsKanchanaburi
- Jan 10, 2027UttaraditvsKasetsart FC
- Jan 10, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsKhon Kaen United