Match

Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police TeroEsan Pattaya

The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).

Police Tero win51 %
Draw27 %
Esan Pattaya win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2
Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Police Tero win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Esan Pattaya win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Police Tero 2-0 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Sep 14, 2025Esan Pattaya 0-2 Police TeroThai League 2
Jan 26, 2025Esan Pattaya 1-0 Police TeroThai League 2
Sep 14, 2024Police Tero 2-1 Esan PattayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya?
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Esan Pattaya.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya played?
Police Tero vs Esan Pattaya is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Police Tero and Esan Pattaya

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