Phrae United vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Chiangmai United?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Chiangmai United (1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Phrae United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Chiangmai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Chiangmai United 1-0 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Phrae United 3-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Chiangmai United 1-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Phrae United 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Chiangmai United 4-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Phrae United 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Phrae United on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phrae United sit 11th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Chiangmai United?
- The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Chiangmai United played?
- Phrae United vs Chiangmai United is played on December 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 25, 2026ChainatvsPolice Tero
- Dec 26, 2026KanchanaburivsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Dec 26, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Dec 26, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsMahasarakham United
- Dec 27, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsSatun
- Dec 27, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsUttaradit
- Dec 27, 2026SongkhlavsKasetsart FC
- Dec 27, 2026Esan PattayavsNakhon Pathom