Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom played?

Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom is played on December 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya

Esan Pattaya

Nakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Esan Pattaya win44 %

Draw28 %

Nakhon Pathom win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Esan Pattaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Chainat(away)	2-1	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Sisaket United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Phrae United(away)	0-0	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Kasetsart FC(home)	3-0	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)	1-1	Thai League 2

Nakhon Pathom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Phrae United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Bangkok(home)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Esan Pattaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 18, 2026	Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 2
Oct 17, 2025	Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Esan Pattaya	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom on Feb 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Esan Pattaya	1.5	1.1	5	7/15	8/15
Nakhon Pathom	1.1	1.1	6	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Esan Pattaya	34	10	12	12	45	42	42
15	Nakhon Pathom	34	10	9	15	29	37	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom?: The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom played?: Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom is played on December 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.