Match

Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya

Esan PattayaNakhon Pathom

The Footlab AI model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Esan Pattaya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,348) and Nakhon Pathom (1,379).

46%28%26%
Esan Pattaya winDrawNakhon Pathom win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Esan Pattaya

4-3-3
  1. 9K. Idris
  2. 17Suphakij Niamkong
  3. 10Fellipe Veloso
  1. 29Narakorn Khana
  2. 7Patrick Silva Mota
  3. 20M. Marhasaranukun
  1. 4Pharanyu Uppala
  2. 36T. Benyapad
  3. 35W. Kayem
  4. 5Abdolreza Zarei
  1. 30C. Sae-Ear

Nakhon Pathom

4-3-3
  1. 11Valdo
  2. 22P. Viriyachanchai
  3. 21N. Prachobklang
  1. 66S. Chaolaokhwan
  2. 6J. Phupha
  3. 55C. Otton
  1. 47A. Sangtong
  2. 44Amirhossein Nemati
  3. 5V. Filipović
  4. 33A. Sangram
  1. 76K. Pitaksalee

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Narathiwat(home)2-0FA Cup
Oct 18, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)0-2Thai League 2
Oct 14, 2026Songkhla(home)3-2Thai League 2
Oct 10, 2026Muang Loei United(away)2-2Thai League 2
Sep 20, 2026Phrae United(home)0-3Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Uttaradit(away)0-2Thai League 2
Oct 20, 2026Uthai Thani(away)0-2FA Cup
Oct 17, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)4-3Thai League 2
Oct 14, 2026Chanthaburi(away)0-3Thai League 2
Oct 10, 2026Muangthong United(home)1-0Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Esan Pattaya wins, 2 draws, 0 Nakhon Pathom wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 18, 2026Esan Pattaya 1-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Oct 17, 2025Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Esan PattayaThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom on Feb 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Esan Pattaya score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Esan Pattaya1.41.356/158/15
Nakhon Pathom1.01.354/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Esan Pattaya sit 15th in Thai League 2 (8 points from 7 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Nakhon Pathom72418910
15Esan Pattaya72236128

A question about Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab AI model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Esan Pattaya vs Nakhon Pathom is played on December 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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