Changwon City vs Paju Citizen: result 1-1 and analysis
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on June 12, 2021 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Changwon Football Center, Changwon
Full time
What was the result of Changwon City vs Paju Citizen?
Changwon City and Paju Citizen drew 1-1 on June 12, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 28′99426Changwon City
- 83′Lee Ji-HongPaju Citizen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Changwon City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Paju Citizen have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2021 | Cheonan City(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 3-1 | K3 League |
| May 30, 2021 | Gyeongju HNP(away) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| May 23, 2021 | Mokpo City(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| May 16, 2021 | Gimhae City(home) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2021 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 1-4 | K3 League |
| May 29, 2021 | Hwaseong(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| May 22, 2021 | Gimpo Citizen(home) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| May 15, 2021 | Cheonan City(away) | 2-2 | K3 League |
| May 8, 2021 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 0-0 | K3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Changwon City score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paju Citizen score 1.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changwon City | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Paju Citizen | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Changwon City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Changwon City | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy