KV Mechelen vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Charleroi?
Charleroi starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,926).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KV Mechelen vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1- 9M. van Brederode
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 23S. Michez
- 30Marco Decherf
- 26D. Praet
- 17C. Van Meirvenne
- 3José Marsà
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 20K. Corbanie
- 13Nacho Mirás
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Charleroi have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KV Mechelen wins, 1 draw, 3 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi 2-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Charleroi 2-0 KV Mechelen | Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Charleroi 0-2 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 18, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Charleroi 3-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs KV Mechelen on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 8 matches) and Charleroi sit 3rd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
A question about KV Mechelen vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Charleroi played?
- KV Mechelen vs Charleroi is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.