Charlton vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Valley, London
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlton vs Middlesbrough?
Middlesbrough starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlton vs Middlesbrough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 33Micah Mbick
- 5L. Jones
- 20D. McNamara
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 17A. Bell
- 13A. Okonkwo
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlton have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Middlesbrough have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Charlton wins, 0 draws, 4 Middlesbrough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Charlton 1-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Charlton 0-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Charlton 2-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Charlton on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlton sit 12th in Championship (14 points from 10 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Charlton vs Middlesbrough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Charlton vs Middlesbrough played?
- Charlton vs Middlesbrough is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.