Blackburn vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blackburn wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Swansea?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Blackburn (1,962) and Swansea (2,038).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blackburn vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 3H. Pickering
- 6Tom Atcheson
- 22B. Tóth
Swansea
4-3-3- 49M. Yeo
- 30Joseph Okopu
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 5B. Cabango
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 04:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Swansea have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Blackburn win, 0 draws, 5 Swansea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Swansea 3-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Blackburn 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Swansea 3-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Blackburn 1-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Swansea 2-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Blackburn 0-1 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Swansea | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackburn sit 10th in Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Swansea sit 2nd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Blackburn vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Swansea played?
- Blackburn vs Swansea is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.