Watford vs Norwich: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Norwich wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs Norwich?
Norwich starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Watford vs Norwich
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 20M. Doumbia
- 7O. Maamma
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 7P. Mattsson
- 11A. Brooks
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 20A. Ben Slimane
- 33J. Córdoba
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 14B. Chrisene
- 32D. Grimshaw
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Norwich have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford wins, 0 draws, 4 Norwich wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Norwich 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Watford 3-2 Norwich | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Watford 1-2 Norwich | League Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Watford 0-1 Norwich | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Norwich 4-1 Watford | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Norwich 4-2 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Norwich | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 20th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Norwich sit 21st (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Watford vs Norwich?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs Norwich?
- The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Watford.
- Where and when is Watford vs Norwich played?
- Watford vs Norwich is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.