Middlesbrough vs Charlton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Charlton. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Middlesbrough starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Middlesbrough vs Charlton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 10A. Morris
- 8R. McGree
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 6S. Berhalter
- 14M. Peart-Harris
- 2C. Brittain
- 12L. Ayling
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 1R. Vítek
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 19M. Alli
- 5L. Jones
- 44Tyler Bindon
- 18I. Mesík
- 20D. McNamara
- 13A. Okonkwo
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Charlton have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | QPR(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Middlesbrough wins, 0 draws, 2 Charlton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Charlton 1-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Charlton 0-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Charlton 2-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Charlton on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Charlton | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 3rd in Championship (15 points from 8 matches) and Charlton sit 9th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough vs Charlton played?
- Middlesbrough vs Charlton is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Riverside Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.