Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for KSZO 1929. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Chełmianka Chełm (1,929) and KSZO 1929 (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; KSZO 1929 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chełmianka Chełm win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 KSZO 1929 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-0 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | KSZO 1929 1-3 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | KSZO 1929 3-0 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Chełmianka Chełm 4-1 KSZO 1929 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KSZO 1929 2-0 Chełmianka Chełm | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 24, 2023 | KSZO 1929 0-3 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929 on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and KSZO 1929 sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for KSZO 1929.
- Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929 played?
- Chełmianka Chełm vs KSZO 1929 is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsWisłoka Dębica
- Apr 10, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Apr 10, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsSokół Kolb.
- Apr 10, 2027Star StarachowicevsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsJarosław
- Apr 10, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsHetman Zamosc
- Apr 10, 2027NaprzódvsCzarni Połaniec
- Apr 10, 2027Moravia MorawicavsBusko-Zdroj