Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów
The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Naprzód (1,688) and Czarni Połaniec (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Czarni Połaniec have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Naprzód win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Czarni Połaniec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Naprzód 0-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 2-1 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Czarni Połaniec sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec?
- The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec played?
- Naprzód vs Czarni Połaniec is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsKSZO 1929
- Apr 10, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsWisłoka Dębica
- Apr 10, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Apr 10, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsSokół Kolb.
- Apr 10, 2027Star StarachowicevsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Apr 10, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsJarosław
- Apr 10, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsHetman Zamosc
- Apr 10, 2027Moravia MorawicavsBusko-Zdroj