Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Dębica
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Wisłoka Dębica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisłoka Dębica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisłoka Dębica win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Wisłoka Dębica | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 30, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica 1-2 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Chełmianka Chełm 0-0 Wisłoka Dębica | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-2 Wisłoka Dębica | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Wisłoka Dębica 1-3 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Wisłoka Dębica 0-3 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Wisłoka Dębica on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisłoka Dębica score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisłoka Dębica | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisłoka Dębica sit 9th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Wisłoka Dębica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Wisłoka Dębica.
- Where and when is Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
- Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 6, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsStar Starachowice
- Mar 6, 2027JarosławvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Mar 6, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Mar 6, 2027NaprzódvsMoravia Morawica
- Mar 6, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Mar 6, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska