Match

Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Dębica

Wisłoka DębicaChełmianka Chełm

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Wisłoka Dębica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm?

Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,722).

Wisłoka Dębica win23 %
Draw26 %
Chełmianka Chełm win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisłoka Dębica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisłoka Dębica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Sokół Kolb.(away)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Jarosław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Busko-Zdroj(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Chełmianka Chełm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naprzód(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)1-0III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisłoka Dębica win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Chełmianka Chełm 2-1 Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga - Group 4
May 30, 2026Wisłoka Dębica 1-2 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Nov 15, 2025Chełmianka Chełm 0-0 Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 8, 2025Chełmianka Chełm 1-2 Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 17, 2024Wisłoka Dębica 1-3 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 9, 2024Wisłoka Dębica 0-3 Chełmianka ChełmIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Wisłoka Dębica on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisłoka Dębica score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisłoka Dębica1.31.9210/1512/15
Chełmianka Chełm2.10.987/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisłoka Dębica sit 9th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chełmianka Chełm550010115
9Wisłoka Dębica5212787

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm?
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Wisłoka Dębica.
Where and when is Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
Wisłoka Dębica vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisłoka Dębica and Chełmianka Chełm

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