Match

Naprzód vs Moravia Morawica: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów

NaprzódMoravia Morawica

The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naprzód vs Moravia Morawica?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Naprzód (1,691) and Moravia Morawica (1,711).

Naprzód win41 %
Draw25 %
Moravia Morawica win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Moravia Morawica have 2, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4
Moravia Morawica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Naprzód(home)4-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Naprzód win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Moravia Morawica win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica 4-2 NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4
Feb 21, 2026Naprzód 4-0 Moravia MorawicaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Moravia Morawica vs Naprzód on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15
Moravia Morawica1.12.713/96/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Moravia Morawica sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Moravia Morawica5203686
12Naprzód52039136

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Moravia Morawica?
The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Moravia Morawica.
Where and when is Naprzód vs Moravia Morawica played?
Naprzód vs Moravia Morawica is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Naprzód and Moravia Morawica

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