Match

Chelmsford City vs Braintree: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford CityBraintree

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Braintree. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Braintree?

Chelmsford City starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,641).

Chelmsford City win65 %
Draw20 %
Braintree win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South
Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chelmsford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Braintree win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2025Chelmsford City 4-1 BraintreeFA Cup
Apr 27, 2024Chelmsford City 2-3 BraintreeNational League - South - Play-offs
Jan 1, 2024Chelmsford City 3-0 BraintreeNational League - South
Dec 26, 2023Braintree 0-3 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Jan 1, 2023Braintree 2-2 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Dec 26, 2022Chelmsford City 2-0 BraintreeNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Braintree on Nov 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Chelmsford City3030223
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Braintree?
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Braintree.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Braintree played?
Chelmsford City vs Braintree is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chelmsford City and Braintree

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