Chelmsford City vs Braintree: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Braintree. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Braintree?
Chelmsford City starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chelmsford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Braintree win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Chelmsford City 4-1 Braintree | FA Cup |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Chelmsford City 2-3 Braintree | National League - South - Play-offs |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Chelmsford City 3-0 Braintree | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Braintree 0-3 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2023 | Braintree 2-2 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Chelmsford City 2-0 Braintree | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Braintree on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Braintree?
- The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Braintree played?
- Chelmsford City vs Braintree is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Maidstone UtdvsBillericay Town
- Dec 26, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Dec 26, 2026Slough TownvsMaidenhead
- Dec 26, 2026Truro CityvsTorquay
- Dec 26, 2026FarnboroughvsFarnham Town
- Dec 26, 2026Folkestone InvictavsDover
- Dec 26, 2026SalisburyvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 26, 2026Dorking WanderersvsHorsham