Chelmsford City vs Braintree: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Braintree. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,359 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Braintree?
Chelmsford City starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,577).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelmsford City vs Braintree
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelmsford City
Not enough data to predict the Chelmsford City lineup.
Braintree
4-3-3- 21E. I. Oyindamola Adebayo A.
- 14J. Bennett
- 9Anisius Lewis
- 16A. Lewis
- 4R. Swann
- 10A. Matthews
- 18L. Brown
- 19Vladimir Paternoster
- 6Ange Djadja
- 32James Andrew Clarridge
- 1Ben Hughes
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Braintree have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-4 | National League - South |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chelmsford City wins, 1 draw, 1 Braintree win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Chelmsford City 4-1 Braintree | FA Cup |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Chelmsford City 2-3 Braintree | National League - South - Play-offs |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Chelmsford City 3-0 Braintree | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Braintree 0-3 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2023 | Braintree 2-2 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Chelmsford City 2-0 Braintree | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Braintree on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Braintree | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelmsford City sit 8th in National League - South (25 points from 16 matches) and Braintree sit 19th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chelmsford City | 16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 25 | 17 | 25 |
| 19 | Braintree | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
A question about Chelmsford City vs Braintree?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Braintree?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Braintree played?
- Chelmsford City vs Braintree is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 26, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDagenham & Redbridge
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- Dec 26, 2026Truro CityvsTorquay
- Dec 26, 2026FarnboroughvsFarnham Town
- Dec 26, 2026Folkestone InvictavsDover
- Dec 26, 2026SalisburyvsWeston-super-Mare
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