Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dagenham & Redbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,812) and Dagenham & Redbridge (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Dagenham & Redbridge have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Dagenham & Redbridge.
- Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge played?
- Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.